Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 1-5
CD Ourense vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
VAD
5 - 0
CDO
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
1 - 1
RSO
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SSC
1 - 1
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 1
CDO
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
VAD
5 - 0
CDO
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 0
MLL
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
VAD
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
RMA
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 1
VAD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |