AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
11º
9º
43
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
HAK
4 - 3
OUL
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 1
IFK
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 1
GNI
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
GBK
0 - 3
OUL
10%
15%
75%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
OUL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
ILV
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 0
GNI
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 2
VAA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
HJK
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HJK
0 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |