Ougrée vs Malmundaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
16º
14º
49
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 4
OUG
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
OUG
2 - 1
ELS
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DUG
1 - 1
OUG
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
OUG
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 1
OUG
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malmundaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUG
2 - 0
MAL
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
5 - 0
BEA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
JSF
0 - 3
MAL
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
WAN
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HAN
3 - 0
MAL
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |