Ougrée vs Hannutois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
16º
14º
46
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EUP
2 - 4
OUG
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OUG
2 - 3
RAU
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
OUG
1 - 2
WAN
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
7 - 2
OUG
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OUG
1 - 3
EDF
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hannutois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 2
WAN
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
HAN
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 0
HAN
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EUP
1 - 4
HAN
23%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
RAU
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |