Otterup vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
10º
10º
21
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otterup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 2
OTB
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
OTB
0 - 4
MAR
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 0
OTB
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OTB
1 - 5
HED
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIN
8 - 0
OTB
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
B19
2 - 0
VAR
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |