Ottawa Fury vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 4
OTT
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
EDM
0 - 1
OTT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
OTT
4 - 2
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 1
EDM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
MIN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
JAC
3 - 3
MIN
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 4
MIN
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 0
JAC
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |