OTP vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
6º
19
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
1 - 1
NAR
41%
21%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROP
3 - 2
OTP
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TP4
1 - 3
OTP
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OTP
2 - 0
AKA
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OTP
2 - 2
GBK
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 0
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
OLS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HER
3 - 3
KUO
58%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GBK
3 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |