Otago University vs Roslyn Wakari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 2
OTU
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
OTU
0 - 5
GIA
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SCR
0 - 2
OTU
43%
21%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WNK
3 - 3
OTU
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
OTU
3 - 1
MOS
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Roslyn Wakari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ROW
4 - 2
WNK
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MOS
2 - 2
ROW
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ROW
2 - 1
NAF
91%
7%
3%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ROW
1 - 3
SCR
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 3
ROW
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |