Otago University vs Caversham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
WNK
3 - 5
OTU
20%
20%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
QUE
0 - 2
OTU
9%
14%
77%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CAV
4 - 0
OTU
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 0
OTU
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
OTU
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAV
5 - 0
QUE
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAV
7 - 0
NHE
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAV
40%
23%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 1
GIA
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CAV
4 - 0
OTU
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |