Osvaldo Cruz vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
OSV
87%
11%
2%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
1 - 0
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BEB
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ECN
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
2 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 2
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |