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Serie D. Group E, Matchday 31

Ostia Mare Sporting Trestina
24 ELO 13
4% Tilt 34%
4465º General ELO ranking 6879º
162º Country ELO ranking 267º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Ostia Mare
24.7%
Draw
32.5%
Sporting Trestina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Ostia Mare
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
Sporting Trestina
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ostia Mare
+21%
+28%
Sporting Trestina

Points and table prediction

Ostia Mare
Their league position
Sporting Trestina
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
12º
17º
13º
56
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Montevarchi Calcio
68
70
100%
Trastevere
59
61
100%
Sporting Trestina
56
58
100%
Pianese
51
53
48%
San Donato Tavarnelle
51
53
47%
Siena
50
51
74%
Gavorrano
48
50
85%
Tiferno Lerchi
47
48
38%
Cannara
47
48
38%
Lornano Badesse
10º
45
47
10º
75%
Sangiovannese
11º
42
43
11º
73%
Montespaccato
12º
41
42
12º
73%
Ostia Mare
13º
38
39
13º
52%
Flaminia
14º
38
39
14º
51%
Foligno Calcio
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Scandicci
16º
32
33
16º
99%
Grassina
17º
30
31
17º
99%
Sinalunghese
18º
23
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ostia Mare
Sporting Trestina
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sporting Trestina
SPO
Ostia Mare
OST
Tiferno Lerchi
TIF
Trastevere
TRA
Grassina
GRA
Pianese
PIA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ostia Mare
Ostia Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO OST ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
2 - 2
Ostia Mare
OST
46%
27%
27%
300 287 -13 0
16 May. 2021
OST
Ostia Mare
0 - 2
Gavorrano
GAV
46%
27%
28%
302 364 -62 -2
09 May. 2021
SDT
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 - 1
Ostia Mare
OST
41%
28%
31%
302 226 -76 0
18 Apr. 2021
OST
Ostia Mare
3 - 1
Montespaccato
MON
45%
27%
28%
300 290 10 +2
14 Apr. 2021
BAR
Lornano Badesse
2 - 2
Ostia Mare
OST
45%
27%
28%
300 295 -5 0

Matches

Sporting Trestina
Sporting Trestina
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
SPO
Sporting Trestina
1 - 1
Flaminia
FLA
45%
27%
28%
196 177 19 0
16 May. 2021
SIN
Sinalunghese
1 - 1
Sporting Trestina
SPO
47%
27%
26%
196 254 58 0
09 May. 2021
SPO
Sporting Trestina
1 - 0
Siena
SIE
36%
27%
37%
194 640 -446 +2
18 Apr. 2021
FOL
Foligno Calcio
1 - 2
Sporting Trestina
SPO
47%
27%
26%
193 269 76 +2
14 Apr. 2021
SPO
Sporting Trestina
0 - 1
Pianese
PIA
42%
28%
31%
194 324 -130 -1