Östersunds FK vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
5º
37
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Östersunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UTS
0 - 0
OST
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OST
2 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
OST
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ORG
2 - 2
OST
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GEF
1 - 0
JON
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
GEF
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
31%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GEF
2 - 1
ORE
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OIF
1 - 2
GEF
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |