Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 8-6
Osasuna vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
BAD
4 - 3
OSA
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
63%
18%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
OSA
63%
17%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
6 - 1
VAD
74%
14%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
HER
3 - 0
OSA
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
BAD
4 - 3
OSA
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1935 |
BAD
5 - 2
ESP
20%
19%
61%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | +2 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
BAD
6 - 2
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 02 May. 1935 |
GIR
0 - 1
BAD
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
BAD
3 - 1
RUN
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +3 |