Uzbekistan Second Division 5th place Play-offs Round 5

Aral Nukus vs Xorazm analysis

Aral Nukus Xorazm
41 ELO 52
21.2% Tilt 15.6%
4433º General ELO ranking 3507º
23º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
23.8%
Aral Nukus
21.6%
Draw
54.6%
Xorazm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
Aral Nukus
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.6%
Win probability
Xorazm
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aral Nukus
-2%
+13%
Xorazm

ELO progression

Aral Nukus
Xorazm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aral Nukus
Aral Nukus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2021
ORO
Aral Nukus
1 - 1
Shurtan
SHO
26%
23%
51%
41 52 11 0
12 Oct. 2021
ORO
Aral Nukus
2 - 3
FK Yangiyer
FKY
42%
23%
35%
42 46 4 -1
05 Oct. 2021
XOR
Xorazm
3 - 0
Aral Nukus
ORO
67%
18%
14%
43 53 10 -1
22 Sep. 2021
SHO
Shurtan
2 - 2
Aral Nukus
ORO
67%
18%
15%
43 50 7 0
04 Sep. 2021
FKY
FK Yangiyer
2 - 1
Aral Nukus
ORO
58%
22%
21%
43 48 5 0

Matches

Xorazm
Xorazm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2021
XOR
Xorazm
1 - 1
FK Yangiyer
FKY
60%
21%
19%
52 47 5 0
12 Oct. 2021
SHO
Shurtan
3 - 0
Xorazm
XOR
40%
24%
36%
53 51 2 -1
05 Oct. 2021
XOR
Xorazm
3 - 0
Aral Nukus
ORO
67%
18%
14%
53 43 10 0
22 Sep. 2021
FKY
FK Yangiyer
1 - 2
Xorazm
XOR
31%
24%
46%
52 48 4 +1
12 Sep. 2021
XOR
Xorazm
5 - 2
FK Yangiyer
FKY
53%
23%
24%
51 49 2 +1