Aral Nukus vs Olympic II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
+997%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
7º
4º
9
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 26 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 24 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 22 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 14 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 10 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
8º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 3
QOQ
15%
22%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
ORO
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
DOS
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
URF
1 - 1
ORO
14%
16%
70%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ORO
1 - 0
MAS
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 0
MAS
13%
21%
66%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
FKO
76%
16%
8%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
XOR
10%
18%
72%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | -1 |