Aral Nukus vs FK FarDU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+242%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
9
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 27 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 26 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 26 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 10 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 10 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 10 |
6º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ORO
0 - 3
SOG
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ORO
3 - 1
FKO
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
ORO
4 - 0
FKJ
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ORO
3 - 1
XOR
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 2
ORO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK FarDU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
FAR
3 - 1
PFK
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 2
FKL
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKO
0 - 0
FAR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +1 |