Orillamar SD vs Club Deportivo Naron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CED
2 - 1
ORI
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 1
ORI
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
BOI
51%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UEC
0 - 2
ORI
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Club Deportivo Naron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CLU
5 - 0
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 2
CLU
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
CLU
29%
22%
49%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 1
CED
29%
23%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 3
CLU
63%
20%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |