Oriente Petrolero vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
RPO
4 - 3
OPE
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BOL
6 - 1
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
OPE
3 - 1
LAP
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 1
OPE
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 0
STR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAC
3 - 1
IBE
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 1
RPO
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |