Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
OPE
35%
26%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
JWI
3 - 1
OPE
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
OPE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
JWI
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REA
1 - 0
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
4 - 0
RPO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BLO
0 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 0
DES
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |