Oriental vs Salus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
ORI
35%
23%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
ORI
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
3 - 2
CSY
49%
22%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
3 - 0
PLA
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 6
ORI
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
7 - 0
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
POT
1 - 0
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 2
COL
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
UMO
1 - 0
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |