Oriental Lisboa vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
83.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 3
IDE
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
RAB
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
ORI
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAB
2 - 2
ORI
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAM
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAM
2 - 2
BOA
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
3 - 3
FAM
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |