Oriental Dragon vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oriental Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
BEL
5%
23%
72%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COU
2 - 0
FAY
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
6 - 1
FAY
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAY
1 - 0
LAJ
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
FAY
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FAY
0 - 3
ANG
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |