Örgryte vs Osters IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
13º
16º
15º
19
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 51 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 49 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 44 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 42 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 38 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 38 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 36 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 36 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 28 |
16º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 64.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
ORG
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 2
IKB
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
IKO
0 - 0
ORG
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 2
UTS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 0
ORG
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Osters IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
OIF
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OIF
2 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
OIF
28%
27%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
OIF
1 - 1
DEG
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OIF
4 - 2
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |