Superettan round 16

Örgryte vs IK Brage analysis

Örgryte IK Brage
60 ELO 63
3% Tilt 1%
1905º General ELO ranking 2190º
23º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
36.7%
Örgryte
26.1%
Draw
37.2%
IK Brage

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
Örgryte
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.2%
Win probability
IK Brage
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Örgryte
+10%
-16%
IK Brage

Points and table prediction

Örgryte
Their league position
IK Brage
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
16º
14º
41
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Västerås SK
63
63
100%
GAIS
57
57
100%
Utsiktens BK
55
55
100%
Osters IF
54
54
100%
Östersunds FK
42
42
100%
IK Brage
41
41
100%
Landskrona BoIS
39
39
100%
Trelleborgs FF
39
39
100%
Gefle
37
37
100%
GIF Sundsvall
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Orebro SK
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Helsingborgs IF
12º
33
33
12º
0%
Skovde AIK
13º
33
33
13º
0%
Örgryte
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Jönköpings Södra
15º
31
31
15º
100%
AFC Eskilstuna
16º
31
31
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Örgryte
IK Brage
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Örgryte
IK Brage
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Örgryte
Örgryte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
SKO
Skovde AIK
2 - 0
Örgryte
ORG
29%
27%
44%
61 56 5 0
15 Jul. 2023
ORG
Örgryte
1 - 2
Helsingborgs IF
HEL
47%
25%
28%
62 60 2 -1
09 Jul. 2023
IKB
IK Brage
4 - 1
Örgryte
ORG
45%
26%
29%
63 63 0 -1
02 Jul. 2023
UTS
Utsiktens BK
3 - 0
Örgryte
ORG
53%
23%
25%
63 65 2 0
11 Jun. 2023
OST
Östersunds FK
2 - 1
Örgryte
ORG
38%
27%
35%
63 61 2 0

Matches

IK Brage
IK Brage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2023
IKB
IK Brage
1 - 2
Osters IF
OIF
39%
26%
35%
63 66 3 0
16 Jul. 2023
AFC
AFC Eskilstuna
2 - 1
IK Brage
IKB
28%
26%
46%
64 58 6 -1
09 Jul. 2023
IKB
IK Brage
4 - 1
Örgryte
ORG
45%
26%
29%
63 63 0 +1
30 Jun. 2023
GEF
Gefle
0 - 1
IK Brage
IKB
36%
24%
41%
63 59 4 0
11 Jun. 2023
IKB
IK Brage
2 - 1
Landskrona BoIS
LAN
43%
26%
30%
62 63 1 +1