National Third Division Round 4

Orfeas Xanthi vs Thermaikos Thermis analysis

Orfeas Xanthi Thermaikos Thermis
27 ELO 37
-13.5% Tilt -15.3%
37384º General ELO ranking 6761º
326º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
26.8%
Orfeas Xanthi
22.3%
Draw
50.9%
Thermaikos Thermis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
Orfeas Xanthi
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.9%
Win probability
Thermaikos Thermis
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Orfeas Xanthi
Their league position
Thermaikos Thermis
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
12º
39
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kampaniakos Chalastra
58
59
100%
Kavala
52
55
100%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
50
53
100%
Doxa Dramas
46
49
100%
Apollon Paralimniou
47
47
59.5%
Panthrakikos
46
47
59.5%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
40
41
100%
Aris Avato
41
41
100%
Thermaikos Thermis
39
40
100%
Pandramaikos
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Byron Kavala
11º
31
32
11º
65.5%
Orfeas Xanthi
12º
30
30
12º
40.5%
Agrotikos Asteras
13º
29
30
13º
40.5%
Antheias-Aristinou
14º
12
13
14º
100%
Alexandroupolis FC
15º
3
4
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orfeas Xanthi
Thermaikos Thermis
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Orfeas Xanthi
Thermaikos Thermis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orfeas Xanthi
Orfeas Xanthi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
PFC
Panthrakikos
3 - 0
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
43%
24%
33%
30 25 5 0
20 Nov. 2022
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
4 - 0
Alexandroupolis FC
ASM
62%
20%
18%
29 24 5 +1
13 Nov. 2022
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
1 - 0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
NES
30%
25%
44%
27 35 8 +2
17 Apr. 2022
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
3 - 0
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
62%
21%
18%
28 33 5 -1
03 Apr. 2022
OPX
Orfeas Xanthi
0 - 0
Ethnikos Sochos
ETS
30%
24%
46%
28 35 7 0

Matches

Thermaikos Thermis
Thermaikos Thermis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
1 - 1
Byron Kavala
BYK
80%
13%
7%
36 20 16 0
20 Nov. 2022
EAA
Antheias-Aristinou
0 - 1
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
25%
22%
53%
35 27 8 +1
13 Nov. 2022
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
1 - 1
Agrotikos Asteras
AGR
31%
28%
41%
35 44 9 0
06 Sep. 2022
IRA
Iraklis Thessaloniki
0 - 1
Thermaikos Thermis
THT
74%
16%
10%
34 51 17 +1
17 Apr. 2022
THT
Thermaikos Thermis
3 - 0
Orfeas Xanthi
OPX
62%
21%
18%
33 28 5 +1