Primera A 1 Phase Fase 1. Jor. 15

Orense vs Guayaquil City analysis

Orense Guayaquil City
71 ELO 69
-8.9% Tilt -9.4%
645º General ELO ranking 1184º
13º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
47.7%
Orense
27.1%
Draw
25.2%
Guayaquil City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
Orense
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.2%
Win probability
Guayaquil City
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orense
-9%
-18%
Guayaquil City

ELO progression

Orense
Guayaquil City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orense
Orense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2022
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 1
Orense
ORE
48%
27%
26%
71 72 1 0
15 May. 2022
ORE
Orense
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
25%
26%
50%
70 80 10 +1
07 May. 2022
DEL
Delfín
2 - 1
Orense
ORE
54%
25%
21%
71 76 5 -1
01 May. 2022
ORE
Orense
1 - 0
Universidad Católica
UCE
25%
25%
50%
70 80 10 +1
23 Apr. 2022
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 1
Orense
ORE
37%
29%
34%
70 68 2 0

Matches

Guayaquil City
Guayaquil City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2022
RIV
Guayaquil City
2 - 2
Liga de Quito
LIG
27%
26%
47%
68 80 12 0
17 May. 2022
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
40%
29%
31%
69 69 0 -1
12 May. 2022
OCT
9 de Octubre
2 - 2
Guayaquil City
RIV
58%
25%
18%
68 74 6 +1
09 May. 2022
RIV
Guayaquil City
1 - 4
Barcelona SC
BSC
34%
28%
38%
69 79 10 -1
30 Apr. 2022
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
49%
26%
26%
70 70 0 -1
X