Primera A 2 Phase Fase 2. Jor. 3

Orense vs Gualaceo analysis

Orense Gualaceo
75 ELO 70
-5.3% Tilt -14.7%
664º General ELO ranking 1376º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Orense
25.5%
Draw
19.7%
Gualaceo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
Orense
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.7%
Win probability
Gualaceo
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orense
-11%
-19%
Gualaceo

Points and table prediction

Orense
Their league position
Gualaceo
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
13º
11º
7
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liga de Quito
36
36
100%
Barcelona SC
32
32
100%
Aucas
25
25
100%
Delfín
24
24
100%
CD El Nacional
23
23
100%
CS Emelec
22
22
100%
Universidad Católica
22
22
100%
Independiente del Valle
21
21
100%
Técnico Universitario
19
19
100%
Mushuc Runa
10º
19
19
10º
100%
Orense
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Deportivo Cuenca
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Libertad FC
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Guayaquil City
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Cumbayá
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Gualaceo
16º
7
7
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orense
Gualaceo
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Orense
Gualaceo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orense
Orense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Orense
ORE
57%
25%
19%
75 80 5 0
05 Aug. 2023
ORE
Orense
0 - 0
Delfín
DEL
34%
26%
40%
74 77 3 +1
24 Jun. 2023
AUC
Aucas
2 - 0
Orense
ORE
51%
26%
23%
75 77 2 -1
12 Jun. 2023
ORE
Orense
0 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
35%
26%
39%
75 80 5 0
03 Jun. 2023
MUS
Mushuc Runa
3 - 1
Orense
ORE
37%
29%
34%
76 70 6 -1

Matches

Gualaceo
Gualaceo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
GUA
Gualaceo
0 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
38%
28%
34%
70 72 2 0
07 Aug. 2023
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
60%
23%
17%
70 78 8 0
17 Jun. 2023
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
39%
28%
33%
69 71 2 +1
13 Jun. 2023
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
61%
23%
16%
69 80 11 0
05 Jun. 2023
GUA
Gualaceo
3 - 4
CD El Nacional
NAC
28%
28%
44%
69 77 8 0
X