Orense vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
ORE
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 1
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
ORE
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ORE
2 - 0
EME
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
EME
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
TEC
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |