FK Novosibirsk vs Orenburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
DIN
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
IRT
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
IRT
3 - 1
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 2
FCN
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 0
FCN
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
ORE
72%
20%
8%
|
24 | 73 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 2
NOS
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ORE
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 2
ZEN
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NOS
3 - 0
ORE
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |