Orenburg II vs FK Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 0
ZPM
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LAD
0 - 0
ORE
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ORE
3 - 7
TYU
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 2
FST
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 1
ORE
77%
17%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOS
0 - 1
FCN
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
FCN
69%
22%
9%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ZEN
0 - 1
FCN
12%
20%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 0
VOL
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
LAD
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |