Oratorio vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SEC
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |