Oranje Nassau vs Gorecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
4º
24
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
PEL
36%
22%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ORA
2 - 0
VVG
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 0
FVC
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
BLA
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PKC
3 - 1
GOR
77%
13%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ONS
4 - 0
GOR
89%
7%
4%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HOO
2 - 1
GOR
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 0
PEL
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |