Orange County SC vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
LVG
3 - 1
ORA
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 2
ORA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ORA
1 - 0
LVG
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
0 - 2
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ORA
1 - 0
ARI
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 3
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 0
SDL
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
0 - 2
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
0 - 0
SAC
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SDL
2 - 1
LVG
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |