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USL Pro - USA. Temporada Regular, Matchday 44

Orange County Blues vs Phoenix Rising analysis

Orange County Blues Phoenix Rising
26 ELO 36
27% Tilt 41%
5607º General ELO ranking 3912º
96º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Orange County Blues
23.3%
Draw
35.6%
Phoenix Rising

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
Orange County Blues
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.6%
Win probability
Phoenix Rising
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orange County Blues
+28%
+86%
Phoenix Rising

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
26
36
ELO
1.7
1.5
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Orange County Blues
Their league position
Phoenix Rising
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
28º
69
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Phoenix Rising
69
71
100%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
68
69
100%
El Paso Locomotive
64
65
100%
Louisville City
58
59
38%
Birmingham Legion
58
59
38%
Charlotte Independence
55
59
37%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
55
57
97%
Miami FC
52
53
100%
Colorado Springs Switchback
49
50
10º
30%
San Antonio
10º
49
51
21%
Orange County Blues
11º
49
50
11º
38%
San Diego Loyal
12º
47
48
12º
71%
Memphis 901
13º
44
47
13º
21%
FC Tulsa
14º
44
47
14º
21%
New Mexico United
15º
43
45
15º
74%
Rio Grande Valley
16º
41
44
16º
26%
Austin Bold
17º
41
42
17º
36%
LA Galaxy II
18º
40
42
18º
45%
Tacoma Defiance
19º
38
39
20º
20%
Hartford Athletic
20º
37
40
19º
29%
OKC Energy
21º
37
38
22º
16%
Charleston Battery
22º
36
38
21º
17%
Sacramento Republic
23º
35
36
24º
24%
Oakland Roots
24º
35
37
23º
22%
Indy Eleven
25º
35
36
25º
39%
Atlanta United II
26º
32
32
26º
100%
Sporting Kansas City II
27º
23
24
27º
39%
New York RB II
28º
23
24
28º
39%
Real Monarchs
29º
22
24
29º
25%
Las Vegas Lights
30º
21
22
30º
79%
Loudoun United
31º
15
17
31º
100%
Expected probabilities
Orange County Blues
Phoenix Rising
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Orange County Blues
ORA
Phoenix Rising
ARI
Las Vegas Lights
LVG
Oakland Roots
ORS
San Diego Loyal
SDL
Tacoma Defiance
TAC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orange County Blues
Orange County Blues
1%
X%
2%
ELO ORA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
TAC
Tacoma Defiance
4 - 1
Orange County Blues
ORA
52%
26%
22%
334 632 298 -3
03 Oct. 2021
ORA
Orange County Blues
0 - 1
Phoenix Rising
ARI
42%
27%
31%
336 493 -157 -2
26 Sep. 2021
ORA
Orange County Blues
2 - 1
Oakland Roots
ORS
38%
28%
35%
333 689 -356 +3
19 Sep. 2021
ARI
Phoenix Rising
2 - 1
Orange County Blues
ORA
51%
26%
23%
330 493 163 -2
04 Sep. 2021
ORA
Orange County Blues
2 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
EPL
38%
28%
35%
330 708 -378 +1

Matches

Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising
1%
X%
2%
ELO ARI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
ARI
Phoenix Rising
1 - 0
Oakland Roots
ORS
39%
28%
34%
495 688 -193 +2
03 Oct. 2021
ORA
Orange County Blues
0 - 1
Phoenix Rising
ARI
42%
27%
31%
493 336 -157 +2
30 Sep. 2021
LAG
LA Galaxy II
3 - 0
Phoenix Rising
ARI
42%
28%
30%
497 421 -76 -4
26 Sep. 2021
TAC
Tacoma Defiance
1 - 2
Phoenix Rising
ARI
51%
26%
23%
495 637 142 +2
19 Sep. 2021
ARI
Phoenix Rising
2 - 1
Orange County Blues
ORA
51%
26%
23%
493 330 163 +2