Operário vs Madalena FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
OPE
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
OPE
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
COI
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 2
MOR
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
OEI
6 - 1
OPE
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 2
GON
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |