One Knoxville vs East Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
7 - 1
SSA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
EAT
0 - 2
OKS
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
OKS
1 - 0
TSC
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 3
OKS
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 0
PEA
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
East Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PEA
5 - 1
EAT
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
EAT
0 - 2
OKS
13%
17%
71%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
EAT
1 - 3
SGT
7%
15%
77%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SCU
3 - 2
EAT
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
EAT
1 - 3
SSA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |