Once Deportivo vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
7º
17
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 2
ONC
47%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
CDD
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
ONC
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
JOC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
15%
25%
60%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
FUE
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
FUE
70%
20%
10%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDD
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 2
FUE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |