Once Caldas vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
AME
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 0
ONC
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 2
ONC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
SFE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 4
MIL
12%
23%
66%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 2
MIL
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |