Once Caldas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
ONC
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
AME
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 0
ONC
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ENV
3 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ENV
0 - 1
AGU
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
ENV
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |