Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
5 - 0
JUB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
3 - 2
KAW
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
OMI
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 0
GAI
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCY
1 - 0
OMI
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 0
CER
6%
15%
79%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 3
SAN
27%
25%
47%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
URA
2 - 0
SAG
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 1
RYK
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALB
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |