Omiya Ardija vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 1
OMI
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OMI
1 - 2
CER
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 0
OMI
20%
26%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
OMI
1 - 1
THE
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EHI
3 - 1
OMI
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
JEF
2 - 0
TOC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GIR
3 - 1
JEF
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JEF
1 - 1
KYO
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
YOK
0 - 1
JEF
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
JEF
1 - 1
VVA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |