Omiya Ardija vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
THE
1 - 1
OMI
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
OMI
2 - 3
ALB
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OMI
0 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JUB
3 - 2
OMI
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
JEF
4 - 2
FAG
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 2
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 1
FAG
49%
28%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
GIR
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
FAG
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |