Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 2
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
MPL
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
MPL
41%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TFC
5 - 1
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |