Olympique Marseille vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
MGG
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
STR
54%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
60%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
FEY
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
KIN
0 - 2
NOR
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 2
NOR
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
DER
0 - 4
NOR
5%
13%
82%
|
75 | 26 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
TOT
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |