Olympique Marseille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
REI
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
ETG
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
4 - 1
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 2
CAE
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 0
TFC
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REN
1 - 4
CAE
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +2 |