Europa League Playoffs. Last 16
Global 5-2
Olympique Marseille vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAN
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PSG
3 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PSG
3 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 1
VCF
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 2
SPA
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |