Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
2º
5º
3º
55
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 6
OLP
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 3
PAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 4
MTA
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 0
VNF
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 1
LAM
74%
18%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 0
PGE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 3
AEK
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
ARI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |