Oly Town vs Ballard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oly Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 0
OTF
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 0
OTF
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PDX
2 - 1
OTF
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OTF
2 - 3
ATL
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ballard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 0
PDX
66%
18%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 0
OTF
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BFC
5 - 1
LAN
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |