Olivenza vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
DBN
27%
28%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
4 - 1
PLA
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UDF
5 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
ASJ
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
UDF
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ASJ
2 - 0
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 3
JER
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 0
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
CDZ
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |