Olivenza vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLI
23%
24%
54%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
COR
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 3
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
EXT
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CPC
0 - 0
OLI
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EMD
0 - 2
MOR
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |